Forums

Which Wednesday Night?

Started by John S October 13, 2021
Wednesday

	Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. High near 85. South wind 
15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 
80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch 
possible.
  (Didn't happen.)

Wednesday Night

	Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 69. South wind 10 to 15 mph. 
Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 
inches possible.
  (Didn't happen.)

Thursday

	Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. High near 82. South wind 
10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
  (I doubt it.)

I sure do want that job!
On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote:
> I sure do want that job!
And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! <rolls eyes> A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving his forecast. He predicted a slight chance of showers (which is usually a safe bet). "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's coming down in buckets!"
On Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 6:25:10 AM UTC-4, Don Y wrote:
> On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote: > > I sure do want that job! > And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! > > <rolls eyes> > > A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving > his forecast. He predicted a slight chance of showers > (which is usually a safe bet). > > "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's > coming down in buckets!"
Rainfall is rarely uniform anymore, even over relatively small areas. One place it can come down in buckets, and half mile distant they get nothing.
On Wed, 13 Oct 2021 08:23:45 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs
<bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote:

>On Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 6:25:10 AM UTC-4, Don Y wrote: >> On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote: >> > I sure do want that job! >> And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! >> >> <rolls eyes> >> >> A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving >> his forecast. He predicted a slight chance of showers >> (which is usually a safe bet). >> >> "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's >> coming down in buckets!"
Predicting the future states of chaotic systems is insane, but weather people and economists and politicians make a living doing it anyhow.
> >Rainfall is rarely uniform anymore, even over relatively small areas. One place it can come down in buckets, and half mile distant they get nothing.
Anymore? Is rain different from past years? -- Father Brown's figure remained quite dark and still; but in that instant he had lost his head. His head was always most valuable when he had lost it.
On 10/13/2021 8:23 AM, Fred Bloggs wrote:
> On Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 6:25:10 AM UTC-4, Don Y wrote: >> On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote: >>> I sure do want that job! >> And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! >> >> <rolls eyes> >> >> A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving his forecast. He >> predicted a slight chance of showers (which is usually a safe bet). >> >> "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's coming down in >> buckets!" > > Rainfall is rarely uniform anymore, even over relatively small areas. One > place it can come down in buckets, and half mile distant they get nothing.
We can *see* the studio from which he broadcasts from our house. We can *see* that it is raining there -- as here. The only one who (apparently) couldn't, was the meteorologist! (had he looked at the video feeds from the (web) cameras mounted on their studio, he would have seen, too!
On 2021/10/13 9:00 a.m., jlarkin@highlandsniptechnology.com wrote:
> On Wed, 13 Oct 2021 08:23:45 -0700 (PDT), Fred Bloggs > <bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com> wrote: > >> On Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 6:25:10 AM UTC-4, Don Y wrote: >>> On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote: >>>> I sure do want that job! >>> And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! >>> >>> <rolls eyes> >>> >>> A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving >>> his forecast. He predicted a slight chance of showers >>> (which is usually a safe bet). >>> >>> "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's >>> coming down in buckets!" > > Predicting the future states of chaotic systems is insane, but weather > people and economists and politicians make a living doing it anyhow. > >> >> Rainfall is rarely uniform anymore, even over relatively small areas. One place it can come down in buckets, and half mile distant they get nothing. > > Anymore? Is rain different from past years? >
Indeed - sometimes driving across our city we will get rain for a couple of blocks then no rain (as if a line was drawn), then perhaps even some sun a bunch of blocks later. As a kid in the 60s I recall sitting on the front porch of our lake view camping cabin and watch the rain move like a curtain towards us. I suspect Fred miswrote when he said rain falls differently now... John ;-#)#
On 10/13/2021 12:48 PM, John Robertson wrote:
> I suspect Fred miswrote when he said rain falls differently now...
Weathermen *know* this. Our weather forecasts address individual parts of town -- because what's likely to happen in one area is often very different from other areas. E.g., no one gives a damn about "what's happening at the airport" (cuz no one LIVES there!)
On 10/13/2021 12:15 PM, Don Y wrote:
> On 10/13/2021 8:23 AM, Fred Bloggs wrote: >> On Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 6:25:10 AM UTC-4, Don Y wrote: >>> On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote: >>>> I sure do want that job! >>> And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! >>> >>> <rolls eyes> >>> >>> A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving his >>> forecast. He >>> predicted a slight chance of showers (which is usually a safe bet). >>> >>> "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's coming down in >>> buckets!" >> >> Rainfall is rarely uniform anymore, even over relatively small areas. >> One >> place it can come down in buckets, and half mile distant they get >> nothing. > > We can *see* the studio from which he broadcasts from our house. > > We can *see* that it is raining there -- as here. > > The only one who (apparently) couldn't, was the meteorologist! > (had he looked at the video feeds from the (web) cameras mounted > on their studio, he would have seen, too! >
&nbsp;I worked on a marina for many years, often saw rain out on the water, but never got a drop at the marina. &nbsp;Also saw rain in the backyard but not in the front. Scattered rain means, it will probably rain somewhere, ( located on the Florida coast.) -- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus
On 10/14/2021 7:03 PM, amdx wrote:
> On 10/13/2021 12:15 PM, Don Y wrote: >> On 10/13/2021 8:23 AM, Fred Bloggs wrote: >>> On Wednesday, October 13, 2021 at 6:25:10 AM UTC-4, Don Y wrote: >>>> On 10/13/2021 2:15 AM, John S wrote: >>>>> I sure do want that job! >>>> And you get to *laugh* about your mistakes on live TV! >>>> >>>> <rolls eyes> >>>> >>>> A week or so ago, one of the local weathermen was giving his forecast. He >>>> predicted a slight chance of showers (which is usually a safe bet). >>>> >>>> "Hello?? Stick your hand out the damn window... it's coming down in >>>> buckets!" >>> >>> Rainfall is rarely uniform anymore, even over relatively small areas. One >>> place it can come down in buckets, and half mile distant they get nothing. >> >> We can *see* the studio from which he broadcasts from our house. >> >> We can *see* that it is raining there -- as here. >> >> The only one who (apparently) couldn't, was the meteorologist! >> (had he looked at the video feeds from the (web) cameras mounted >> on their studio, he would have seen, too! >> > I worked on a marina for many years, often saw rain out on the water, but > never got a drop at the marina.
That is fairly common, here. As a result, we don't get a single forecast. "In the foothills, expect..." "On the East side..." "At the airport..." "On the mountain..." "By the CDO wash..." "Downtown..." "On the West side..." followed by the various suburbs served in the broadcast area. If you've lived here for a while, you can guesstimate *your* weather based on the forecasts of these various other areas. (e.g., come winter, we expect our low temperature to always be ~3 degrees below the forecast for this part of town *and* to always occur about 30 minutes after sunrise) It is also common to see live video feeds of various spots around town ("Oooo... look at the pretty sunset!") as if to confirm what they are claiming. And, if a REAL storm is predicted, they'll dispatch reporters to each of those locations and "check in" with them, live. (When the weather is always "Hot, dry and sunny", anything that *isn't* calls for special attention! <rolls eyes> ) And, if it *snows* anywhere (anything visible, even if it doesn't "stick") then they'll interrupt coverage of The Apocalypse to bring it to you!
> Also saw rain in the backyard but not in the front. Scattered rain means, it > will probably rain somewhere,
Well, that's always the case *somewhere* regardless of how *much* rain is forecast (because there is a boundary between "rained on" and "not rained on").